Washington — The 2018 midterm elections are set to kick off next week, with some candidates expected to be running for office in the state’s 17th Congressional District.
But who will be up for reelection?
And who will lose?
The Associated Press spoke with election experts about the election’s outcomes, and some of them are predicting that the 2020 election will not be a cakewalk.
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“I’m confident that the Democrats are going to win this seat, and I think that we’re going to be in the position of a Democratic House and a Democratic Senate, and they’re going be able to do that,” said James Hohmann, a political science professor at the University of South Carolina.
“But if we see that we lose that seat, then it would be pretty devastating for Democrats.
I would not be surprised if it’s a blowout.
And the Democrats could get knocked out by a third party.”
The AP asked experts who have predicted the 2020 race to explain their predictions.
Here are some of their answers:●Bryce Hilliard, the president of the American Institute of Architects, predicted that Democrats would win the district by about 30 points.
“If we get this district in play, I think the Democrats will be well-positioned to win in 2020,” he said.
“They’ve got a majority, and there are a lot of Republicans in the district.
That gives them a chance to push a moderate agenda.”●”The Democratic nominee, Karen Handel, is a moderate Democrat, and she’s running on a very moderate platform, but she’s not a conservative,” said Larry Sabato, director of the University at Buffalo’s Center for Politics.
“She’s a moderate on social issues.
She’s a liberal on foreign policy.
She supports trade and economic issues, and that’s something that voters might find appealing.”●A group of election experts from the University and Harvard University predicted that Republicans would be able win the seat by about 10 points, and by about 25 points.”
There is a huge Republican base in the 17th District, and it’s very vulnerable.
The only way they’re not going to do a terrible job is if the Republicans can take this seat,” said Christopher Newport, a former adviser to President George W. Bush.
“I think they’re in trouble if they don’t win it in 2020.”
“It’s going to take a lot more than a 20-point margin to win, but I think it’s probably going to happen.
If it happens, it’s going be a landslide,” he added.
“The Republicans are in the minority in the House, so that could push them over the top.”